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This is our penultimate forecast before the General Election proper. We will be providing a full forecast once the final opinion polls have been released, published either on Wednesday evening or Thursday morning. This forecast assumes a General Election held tomorrow (Tuesday 4th May). For the first time in a fortnight we have the Liberal Democrats predicted [...] In recent months, the SNP has been running at around 3.5% in national opinion polls. When compared to Scottish only opinion polls, this figure appears to overstate the support of the SNP north of the border and leads to highly unlikely forecasts for the number of SNP MPs returned at the next General Election. However, opinion pollsters [...] |
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