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Our latest forecast places the Conservative Party in a strong position with a predicted majority of well over 100. We are predicting over 43% of the vote for David Cameron’s Tories, their best performance in a Westminster election for decades. In the past week, a new poll by YouGov confirms not only the slump in Labour’s support [...] The by-election in Crewe and Nantwich is today and this is the final forecast from Forecast UK. By-election results are notoriously hard to predict as turnout can vary a large amount from a General Election. In the light of this, we will be providing a % Victory prediction, i.e. how much of the vote the winning party [...] Our latest forecast places the Conservative Party in a strong position with a predicted majority of over 100. In the past two days we have taken into account new polls from both ComRes and ICM. The large Conservative lead first shown in the YouGov poll is holding up in other surveys. Opinion polls north of the border show [...] Our latest forecast places the Conservative Party in a strong position with a predicted majority of over 100. In the past two days we have taken into account new polls from both ComRes and YouGov. The Conservative lead in the YouGov poll isn’t quite as large as the one reported a week ago, but there is little [...] The by-election in Crewe and Nantwich is only one week away and here at Forecast UK we will be providing a prediction for the vote. By-election results are notoriously hard to predict as turnout can vary a large amount from a General Election. In the light of this, we will be providing a % Victory prediction, i.e. [...] Our latest forecast places the Conservative Party in a strong position with a predicted majority of over 100. In the past two days we have taken into account new polls from both Populus and YouGov, who’s latest research shows a Conservative lead of 26 percentage points on 49%. Our forecast currently puts the Conservative vote on 42.3%, [...] May 2007 was the first real test for Forecast UK in predicting UK elections. We gave a number of forecasts in particular for the Welsh Assembly, and our final forecast on the morning of the vote was particularly accurate. Labour 27 Plaid Cymru Conservative Lib Dem Other
Although we [...] The by-election in Crewe and Nantwich is only two weeks away and here at Forecast UK we will be providing a prediction for the vote. By-election results are notoriously hard to predict as turnout can vary a large amount from a General Election. In the light of this, we will be providing a % Victory prediction, i.e. [...] Our latest forecast places the Conservative Party in a strong position with a predicted majority of over 100. Recent opinion polls have placed the Conservatives at around 40% with the exception of YouGov who position them in the region of 44%. YouGov have recently excelled themselves with a highly accurate prediction of the London Mayoral contest and [...] In recent months, the SNP has been running at around 3.5% in national opinion polls. When compared to Scottish only opinion polls, this figure appears to overstate the support of the SNP north of the border and leads to highly unlikely forecasts for the number of SNP MPs returned at the next General Election. However, opinion pollsters [...] |
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