Latest Forecast - 26th February

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. In the past week the Conservatives have slipped again by over 1.5% and are now approaching levels of support which could leave them without an overall majority. The Liberal Democrats appear to have [...]

Can Brown still hold a March 25th Election?

The simple answer is, yes. Here is the timetable from the official Commons’ Briefing Paper, together with the relevant dates.

Proclamation summoning new Parliament/dissolution of old Parliament/issue of writ
Day 0
Monday
March 1st

Receipt of writ
Day 1
Tuesday
March 2nd

Last day for publication of notice of election (4pm)
Day 3
Thursday
March 4th

Last day for delivery of nomination papers/withdrawals of candidature/ appointment of election agents [...]

Latest Forecast – 19th February 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. In the past week the Conservatives appear to have recovered slightly from the dip they suffered mid February, but new polls indicate that that situation may not remain for long. The Liberal Democrats [...]

Latest Forecast - 12th February 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. In the past week we have continued to see a noticeable decline in support for the Conservatives, with polls by ICM, Populus and Angus Reid confirming the new trend.

Summary

Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev

Conservative
38.3%
+5.9%
-0.6%

Labour
28.2%
-7.0%
+0.8%

Lib Dem
21.1%
-0.9%
+0.4%

Swing Labour [...]

Latest Forecast – 5th February 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. In the past week we have begun to see a turn in the polls toward Labour, though we await confirmation from ICM and Populus as to whether this is an ongoing trend or [...]