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Since our last forecast the position in the polls has stabilised slightly. If an election was held tomorrow, we believe that the Liberal Democrats would still be in second position, but not with as large a lead over Labour as some recent opinion polls have indicated. Unlike other organisations that simply apply a uniform swing to the [...] A dramatic week in the polls has prompted us to release an interim forecast to reflect the current parties’ standings. Unlike other organisations that simply apply a uniform swing to the poll results of the past few days, we have analysed the regional fluctuations, tactical voting possibilities and trends to give a far greater accurate picture of [...] Forecast UK Tracker Our second forecast of the official campaign sees a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party. Their lead over Labour has been slashed, but both parties are losing significant ground to the Liberal Democrats. Please note – percentage changes have been adapted to reflect 2005 GB results, and not 2005 UK results [...] FusionCharts. // // ]]> Date 18th April 19th April 20th April 21st April 22nd April 23rd April 24th April 25th April 26th April 27th April 28th April 29th April 30th April 1st May 2nd May 3rd May 4th May 5th May Please note – the tracker may change through the day as we receive updated [...] Daily Poll Tracker As the General Election Campaign gets underway, Forecast UK is unveiling its daily poll tracker. This is a quick way for you to see where the polls are moving on a day to day basis. Too often it can be confusing to try and compare one poll with another. Different polling firms use different [...] 1997 was the last time that power changed hands from one political party to another. Here’s the BBC coverage of that evening. Is the same thing about to happen again in Britain [...] Forecast UK Tracker As we go into the formal General Election campaign, the latest Forecast UK prediction shows an improving position for the Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats bounce last week has vanished and Labour has stabilised as a result. Please note – percentage changes have been adapted to reflect 2005 GB results, and not 2005 UK results [...] Forecast UK Tracker This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our new forecast shows an improvement for the Conservatives and a very good week for the Liberal Democrats Summary Party Conservative Labour Lib Dem Swing Labour to Conservative 5.6% A much better week for the Conservatives sees them [...] |
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