Our latest forecast uses data from just before the party conferences (and will be followed by one from after the conferences). We see that the Conservatives are maintaining their strong position and Labour continue to be set for a poor result.
We continue to forecast the Green Party to gain Brighton Pavilion, their first MP, especially in the light of poor Labour polling in the South East.
We forecast Labour to hold Glasgow North East, the seat of retiring Speaker Michael Martin, at a General Election.
Remember, Forecast UK predictions are based on the General Election being held the day of the forecast.
Full Forecast
Con : 39.7%
Lab : 25.1%
LDm : 21.1%Con : 390
Lab : 177
LDm :45
SNP : 13
PC : 4
Irish : 18
Oth : 3Conservative Majority of 130

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