Our latest forecast uses data from the past few weeks. In line with figures seen in recent opinion polls, we are seeing a reduction in support for the Conservatives with a resurgence of votes for Labour, especially north of the border where the SNP has slipped back. Despite this we continue to forecast a healthy Conservative majority.
We continue to forecast the Green Party to gain Brighton Pavilion, their first MP, especially in the light of poor Labour polling in the South East.
Remember, Forecast UK predictions are based on the General Election being held the day of the forecast.
Full Forecast
Conservative 38.9% Labour 27.6% Lib Dem 19.0%
Conservative 360 Labour 223 Lib Dem 31 SNP 8 Plaid Cymru 5 Green 1 Irish 18 Other 4 Conservative Majority of 70
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