Latest Forecast - 15th January 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. As political events settle down after a dynamic fortnight, Labour have pulled back slightly but still look set on course for a disastrous defeat at the polls.
Summary

Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev

Conservative
39.2%
+6.8%
-0.8%

Labour
27.7%
-7.5%
+0.5%

Lib Dem
19.8%
-2.2%
-0.1%

Swing Labour to Conservative
[...]

Latest Forecast - 8th January 2010

The second of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote, shows dramatic movement in public opinion over the past week. The failed Labour leadership coup has damaged the Government and our forecast has been adjusted to present a much more confident picture for Dave Cameron’s Conservatives.

Summary

Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev

Conservative
40.0%
+7.6%
+1.0%

Labour
27.2%
-8.0%
nc

Lib [...]

Latest Forecast - 1st January 2010

This is the first of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. As such it varies from our previous forecasts which are based on the General Election being held the same day as the forecast. Our Forecast UK tracker will also shortly update to this new system of [...]