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Forecast UK Tracker As we go into the formal General Election campaign, the latest Forecast UK prediction shows an improving position for the Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats bounce last week has vanished and Labour has stabilised as a result. Please note – percentage changes have been adapted to reflect 2005 GB results, and not 2005 UK results [...] Forecast UK Tracker This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our updated forecast shows more bad news for the Conservatives, as for the first time Forecast UK predicts that Dave Cameron will not achieve an overall majority at the forthcoming vote. Summary Party Conservative Labour Lib [...] As we approach the General Election Forecast UK will be stepping up its predictions leading to, we hope, a daily forecast during the election itself. Our latest forecast uses data from the past few weeks. In line with figures seen in recent opinion polls in the past month, we are seeing a slow reduction in support for [...] Our latest forecast uses data from the past few weeks. In line with figures seen in recent opinion polls, we are seeing a reduction in support for the Conservatives with a resurgence of votes for Labour, especially north of the border where the SNP has slipped back. Despite this we continue to forecast a healthy Conservative [...] Our latest forecast uses data from just before the party conferences (and will be followed by one from after the conferences). We see that the Conservatives are maintaining their strong position and Labour continue to be set for a poor result. We continue to forecast the Green Party to gain Brighton Pavilion, their first MP, especially in [...] Our first forecast since the expenses crisis reveals a shift in public opinion away from the two main parties, but towards the Liberal Democrats and minority parties. Of greatest note is the notable increase in seats that we are now forecasting will be held by the Liberal Democrats, in comparison to our earlier forecasts this year [...] Our third forecast of the year reflects the increasing bad news for the Labour Government in the news and the consequential effect on public opinion. The Liberal Democrat vote continues to improve, and while we are still predicting losses for them, especially in the South-West, those losses are beginning to be minimised. We continue to forecast the Green [...] Our second forecast of the year shows that the Conservative double-digit lead continues to be maintained. The Liberal Democrat vote has improved slightly. While we are still predicting heavy losses for them, especially in the South-West, there are signs that their vote is improving slowly. We continue to forecast the Green Party to gain Brighton Pavilion, their first [...] Our first forecast of the New Year shows that the "Brown Bounce" has all but evaporated. The Liberal Democrat vote has fallen back again and all the indications are that they are continuing to lose out in the Tory / Labour battle. We continue to predict them losing a dramatic number of seats in the South West [...] |
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