Latest Forecast – 15th December 2009

As we approach the General Election Forecast UK will be stepping up its predictions leading to, we hope, a daily forecast during the election itself.

Our latest forecast uses data from the past few weeks. In line with figures seen in recent opinion polls in the past month, we are seeing a slow reduction in support for [...]

Welsh Assembly 2007 Forecast – Looking Back

May 2007 was the first real test for Forecast UK in predicting UK elections. We gave a number of forecasts in particular for the Welsh Assembly, and our final forecast on the morning of the vote was particularly accurate.

 
Predicted Result
Actual Result

 
 
 

Labour

27
26

Plaid Cymru
15
15

Conservative
10
12

Lib Dem
7
6

Other
1
1

 

Although we [...]