As we approach the General Election Forecast UK will be stepping up its predictions leading to, we hope, a daily forecast during the election itself.
Our latest forecast uses data from the past few weeks. In line with figures seen in recent opinion polls in the past month, we are seeing a slow reduction in support for [...]
May 2007 was the first real test for Forecast UK in predicting UK elections. We gave a number of forecasts in particular for the Welsh Assembly, and our final forecast on the morning of the vote was particularly accurate.
Predicted Result
Actual Result
Labour
27
26
Plaid Cymru
15
15
Conservative
10
12
Lib Dem
7
6
Other
1
1
Although we [...]
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