Forecast UK Tracker
This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Labour have lost any momentum they were building after the start of the year and continue to drop back into a dangerously low poll rating.
Summary
Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev
Conservative
39.6%
+7.2%
-0.5%
Labour
26.4%
-8.8%
-0.1%
Lib Dem
21.2%
-0.8%
+0.4%
Swing Labour to Conservative
8.0%
The latest [...]
Forecast UK Tracker
This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Labour have lost any momentum they were building after the start of the year and have dropped back into a dangerously low poll rating.
Summary
Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev
Conservative
40.1%
+7.7%
+0.9%
Labour
26.5%
-8.7%
-1.2%
Lib Dem
20.8%
-1.2%
+1.0%
Swing Labour to Conservative
8.2%
A week of [...]
Forecast UK Tracker
This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. As political events settle down after a dynamic fortnight, Labour have pulled back slightly but still look set on course for a disastrous defeat at the polls.
Summary
Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev
Conservative
39.2%
+6.8%
-0.8%
Labour
27.7%
-7.5%
+0.5%
Lib Dem
19.8%
-2.2%
-0.1%
Swing Labour to Conservative
[...]
The second of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote, shows dramatic movement in public opinion over the past week. The failed Labour leadership coup has damaged the Government and our forecast has been adjusted to present a much more confident picture for Dave Cameron’s Conservatives.
Summary
Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev
Conservative
40.0%
+7.6%
+1.0%
Labour
27.2%
-8.0%
nc
Lib [...]
This is the first of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. As such it varies from our previous forecasts which are based on the General Election being held the same day as the forecast. Our Forecast UK tracker will also shortly update to this new system of [...]
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