Latest Forecast - 3rd May 2010

This is our penultimate forecast before the General Election proper. We will be providing a full forecast once the final opinion polls have been released, published either on Wednesday evening or Thursday morning.

This forecast assumes a General Election held tomorrow (Tuesday 4th May). For the first time in a fortnight we have the Liberal Democrats predicted [...]

Latest Forecast – 26th March 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our updated forecast shows that the Conservatives are continuing to slip and we are predicting David Cameron to lead the largest party in the Commons, but to be clearly short of an overall [...]

Latest Forecast – 19th March 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our updated forecast shows more bad news for the Conservatives, as for the first time Forecast UK predicts that Dave Cameron will not achieve an overall majority at the forthcoming vote.

Summary

Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev

Conservative
37.3%
+4.9%
-0.2%

Labour
28.7%
-6.5%
-1.0%

Lib [...]

Latest Forecast - 29th January 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Labour have lost any momentum they were building after the start of the year and continue to drop back into a dangerously low poll rating.

Summary

Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev

Conservative
39.6%
+7.2%
-0.5%

Labour
26.4%
-8.8%
-0.1%

Lib Dem
21.2%
-0.8%
+0.4%

Swing Labour to Conservative

8.0%

The latest [...]

Latest Forecast – 13th June 2008

Our latest forecast reflects the increasing reporting in UK polling of extraordinarily high Conservative support. We are forecasting over 45% of the vote for David Cameron’s Tories, their best performance in a Westminster election for decades and levels that would produce an extraordinary landslide..

The Liberal Democrat vote is stabilising around the 19% figure, but their seat [...]

Latest Forecast – 3rd June 2008

Our latest forecast continues to place the Conservative Party in a strong position with a predicted majority of well over 100. We are forecasting over 43% of the vote for David Cameron’s Tories, their best performance in a Westminster election for decades.

This week a new poll by Communicate Research continues to confirm the trend of support [...]

Latest Forecast – 29th May 2008

Our latest forecast places the Conservative Party in a strong position with a predicted majority of well over 100. We are predicting over 43% of the vote for David Cameron’s Tories, their best performance in a Westminster election for decades.

In the past week, a new poll by YouGov confirms not only the slump in Labour’s support [...]