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This is our first forecast of the new parliament and reflects opinion polls in the UK over the past month. Please note – percentage changes are from 2010 GB results. Summary Party Conservative Labour Lib Dem The main change since the General Election is the collapse in support for the Lib Dems. Whether this would continue at the present rate were another [...] This is our final forecast for the General Election. Final Update – 14:45 BST Our forecast shows a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party. The combined total of the Labour and Liberal Democrat seats is 304 and this is not enough to form an absolute majority. Summary Party Conservative Labour Lib Dem Other Key Predictions The Greens will pick [...] This is our penultimate forecast before the General Election proper. We will be providing a full forecast once the final opinion polls have been released, published either on Wednesday evening or Thursday morning. This forecast assumes a General Election held tomorrow (Tuesday 4th May). For the first time in a fortnight we have the Liberal Democrats predicted [...] Forecast UK Tracker Our second forecast of the official campaign sees a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party. Their lead over Labour has been slashed, but both parties are losing significant ground to the Liberal Democrats. Please note – percentage changes have been adapted to reflect 2005 GB results, and not 2005 UK results [...] Daily Poll Tracker As the General Election Campaign gets underway, Forecast UK is unveiling its daily poll tracker. This is a quick way for you to see where the polls are moving on a day to day basis. Too often it can be confusing to try and compare one poll with another. Different polling firms use different [...] 1997 was the last time that power changed hands from one political party to another. Here’s the BBC coverage of that evening. Is the same thing about to happen again in Britain [...] Forecast UK Tracker As we go into the formal General Election campaign, the latest Forecast UK prediction shows an improving position for the Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats bounce last week has vanished and Labour has stabilised as a result. Please note – percentage changes have been adapted to reflect 2005 GB results, and not 2005 UK results [...] 1979 was the last time a Labour Government was ousted by a Conservative opposition in the midst of an economic crisis. Here’s the entire BBC coverage from [...] At the 1987 General Election, Labour had strong hopes of removing Margaret Thatcher from power. In the end the swing to Neil Kinnock was almost negligible. Here’s the whole of the overnight coverage from [...] |
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