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This is our first forecast of the new parliament and reflects opinion polls in the UK over the past month. Please note – percentage changes are from 2010 GB results. Summary Party Conservative Labour Lib Dem The main change since the General Election is the collapse in support for the Lib Dems. Whether this would continue at the present rate were another [...] Since our last forecast the position in the polls has stabilised slightly. If an election was held tomorrow, we believe that the Liberal Democrats would still be in second position, but not with as large a lead over Labour as some recent opinion polls have indicated. Unlike other organisations that simply apply a uniform swing to the [...] A dramatic week in the polls has prompted us to release an interim forecast to reflect the current parties’ standings. Unlike other organisations that simply apply a uniform swing to the poll results of the past few days, we have analysed the regional fluctuations, tactical voting possibilities and trends to give a far greater accurate picture of [...] Forecast UK Tracker Our second forecast of the official campaign sees a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party. Their lead over Labour has been slashed, but both parties are losing significant ground to the Liberal Democrats. Please note – percentage changes have been adapted to reflect 2005 GB results, and not 2005 UK results [...] Forecast UK Tracker As we go into the formal General Election campaign, the latest Forecast UK prediction shows an improving position for the Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats bounce last week has vanished and Labour has stabilised as a result. Please note – percentage changes have been adapted to reflect 2005 GB results, and not 2005 UK results [...] Forecast UK Tracker This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our new forecast shows an improvement for the Conservatives and a very good week for the Liberal Democrats Summary Party Conservative Labour Lib Dem Swing Labour to Conservative 5.6% A much better week for the Conservatives sees them [...] Forecast UK Tracker This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our updated forecast shows that the Conservatives are continuing to slip and we are predicting David Cameron to lead the largest party in the Commons, but to be clearly short of an overall [...] Forecast UK Tracker This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our updated forecast shows more bad news for the Conservatives, as for the first time Forecast UK predicts that Dave Cameron will not achieve an overall majority at the forthcoming vote. Summary Party Conservative Labour Lib [...] Forecast UK Tracker This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our updated forecast shows a rise in support for Labour and the Conservatives and a steep decline for the Liberal Democrats. Summary Party Conservative Labour Lib Dem Swing Labour to Conservative 5.3% The main feature of this week’s [...] Forecast UK Tracker This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. In the past week the Conservatives have slipped again by over 1.5% and are now approaching levels of support which could leave them without an overall majority. The Liberal Democrats appear to have [...] |
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