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This is the first of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. As such it varies from our previous forecasts which are [...]
Our first forecast since the summer shows a slight improvement for Labour, especially in their Scottish heartlands. We are now predicting gains for the SNP in the region of 20 seats, still a disaster but not the complete Scottish landslide we were forecasting last month.
The Liberal Democrat vote has has recovered slightly, but all the indications [...]
Our latest forecast reflects the increasing reporting in UK polling of extraordinarily high Conservative support. We are forecasting over 45% of the vote for David Cameron’s Tories, their best performance in a Westminster election for decades and levels that would produce an extraordinary landslide..
The Liberal Democrat vote is stabilising around the 19% figure, but their seat [...]
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