As the General Election draws close we will be changing our forecast technique in the New Year to take account of the need for a prediction of the final result of the vote on the day it will occur. At present we forecast for an election taking place on the day of the prediction, but of [...]
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Our first forecast of the New Year shows that the "Brown Bounce" has all but evaporated. The Liberal Democrat vote has fallen back again and all the indications are that they are continuing to lose out in the Tory / Labour battle. We continue to predict them losing a dramatic number of seats in the South West [...] |
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