Forecast UK

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. As political events settle down after a dynamic fortnight, Labour have pulled back slightly but still look set on course for a disastrous defeat at the polls.
Summary

Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev

Conservative
39.2%
+6.8%
-0.8%

Labour
27.7%
-7.5%
+0.5%

Lib Dem
19.8%
-2.2%
-0.1%

Swing Labour to Conservative
[...]