Forecast UK Tracker
This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Labour have lost any momentum they were building after the start of the year and continue to drop back into a dangerously low poll rating.
Summary
Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev
Conservative
39.6%
+7.2%
-0.5%
Labour
26.4%
-8.8%
-0.1%
Lib Dem
21.2%
-0.8%
+0.4%
Swing Labour to Conservative
8.0%
The latest [...]
Forecast UK Tracker
This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Labour have lost any momentum they were building after the start of the year and have dropped back into a dangerously low poll rating.
Summary
Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev
Conservative
40.1%
+7.7%
+0.9%
Labour
26.5%
-8.7%
-1.2%
Lib Dem
20.8%
-1.2%
+1.0%
Swing Labour to Conservative
8.2%
A week of [...]
Our latest forecast reflects the increasing reporting in UK polling of extraordinarily high Conservative support. We are forecasting over 45% of the vote for David Cameron’s Tories, their best performance in a Westminster election for decades and levels that would produce an extraordinary landslide..
The Liberal Democrat vote is stabilising around the 19% figure, but their seat [...]
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