Latest Forecast - 16th April 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

Our second forecast of the official campaign sees a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party. Their lead over Labour has been slashed, but both parties are losing significant ground to the Liberal Democrats.

Please note – percentage changes have been adapted to reflect 2005 GB results, and not 2005 UK results [...]

Latest Forecast - 9th April 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

As we go into the formal General Election campaign, the latest Forecast UK prediction shows an improving position for the Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats bounce last week has vanished and Labour has stabilised as a result.

Please note – percentage changes have been adapted to reflect 2005 GB results, and not 2005 UK results [...]

Latest Forecast - 2nd April 2010 (Good Friday)

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our new forecast shows an improvement for the Conservatives and a very good week for the Liberal Democrats

Summary

Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev

Conservative
36.8%
+4.4%
+0.5%

Labour
28.5%
-6.7%
-0.5%

Lib Dem
21.1%
-0.9%
+1.6%

Swing Labour to Conservative

5.6%

A much better week for the Conservatives sees them [...]

Latest Forecast – 26th March 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our updated forecast shows that the Conservatives are continuing to slip and we are predicting David Cameron to lead the largest party in the Commons, but to be clearly short of an overall [...]

Latest Forecast – 19th March 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our updated forecast shows more bad news for the Conservatives, as for the first time Forecast UK predicts that Dave Cameron will not achieve an overall majority at the forthcoming vote.

Summary

Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev

Conservative
37.3%
+4.9%
-0.2%

Labour
28.7%
-6.5%
-1.0%

Lib [...]

Latest Forecast - 12th March 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Our updated forecast shows a rise in support for Labour and the Conservatives and a steep decline for the Liberal Democrats.

Summary

Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev

Conservative
37.5%
+5.1%
+0.5%

Labour
29.7%
-5.5%
+1.6%

Lib Dem
18.6%
-3.4%
-1.3%

Swing Labour to Conservative

5.3%

The main feature of this week’s [...]

Latest Forecast – 5th March 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. Despite a turbulent week in the polls, the two main parties have stabilised, with the Liberal Democrats losing support.

Summary

Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev

Conservative
37.0%
+4.6%
-0.2%

Labour
28.1%
-7.1%
+0.1%

Lib Dem
19.9%
-2.1%
-1.0%

Swing Labour to Conservative

5.9%

After last week’s dramatic slump for the Conservatives, [...]

Latest Forecast - 26th February

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. In the past week the Conservatives have slipped again by over 1.5% and are now approaching levels of support which could leave them without an overall majority. The Liberal Democrats appear to have [...]

Latest Forecast – 19th February 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. In the past week the Conservatives appear to have recovered slightly from the dip they suffered mid February, but new polls indicate that that situation may not remain for long. The Liberal Democrats [...]

Latest Forecast - 12th February 2010

Forecast UK Tracker

This is the latest of our new style General Election Predictions, focussing on projecting forward to the upcoming national vote. In the past week we have continued to see a noticeable decline in support for the Conservatives, with polls by ICM, Populus and Angus Reid confirming the new trend.

Summary

Party
%
Since 2005
Since Prev

Conservative
38.3%
+5.9%
-0.6%

Labour
28.2%
-7.0%
+0.8%

Lib Dem
21.1%
-0.9%
+0.4%

Swing Labour [...]